Carol Platt Liebau: Iowa: It's On!

Thursday, January 03, 2008

Iowa: It's On!

Townhall readers have predicted victories for Obama and Romney.

My sense is that they're dead right about Obama, and that's good news. Even aside from the schadenfreude of watching putative frontrunner Hillary Clinton try to pick up the pieces, what this means is that she's got a race on her hands -- one she might well lose. And that, in turn, means that things will become much more contentious and divisive on the Dem side, because Hillary wants to win, even if she has to win ugly.

As for the Republican side, here's hoping it's Romney. But Fox News has reported that exit polls are strong for Huckabee. No doubt Romney can lose Iowa and still be strongly positioned with a NH victory, but a Huckabee victory in Iowa would be embarassing for the GOP and would provide him with stature that, in my view, he doesn't deserve. Given his lack of money, his inexperience with foreign affairs, and his status as the Republican most Democrats love, a Huckabee win in Iowa would be nothing but a "one hit wonder" and a vote for him does nothing but hold back the cause of securing a Republican victory in the general.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

Both Fox and CNN call it for Governor Huckabee with a double-digit lead over Governor Romney.

6:21 PM  
Blogger Duke-Stir said...

I'm not sure I understand how Huckabee's inexperience with foreign affairs makes him unsuitable to be the Republican nominee.

Bush didn't know the difference between Slovenia and Slovakia -- a prelude to other, much more significant, knowledge gaps -- and it seemed to be little cause for consternation within the GOP.

7:47 PM  
Blogger Greg said...

Oops. Looks like Townhall readers got it wrong on the Republican side.

It wasn't the double digit victory initially projected by Fox News. But Huckabee pulled out a decisive win for sure. This is a definite blow to my man, Romney.

We'll have to see how this plays out. But, to my mind, this helps Rudy more than anyone else. Despite the Huckaboom and the McCain surge, I still think this is a two-man race for the Republicans. Romney's plan was to gain momentum and name recognition with early wins. Rudy's plan was to skip out of the early contests in order to cherry pick big state wins.

Right now, Rudy's plan is looking pretty good. McCain and Huckabee may be the catalysts to a Rudy nomination.

7:44 AM  

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