Carol Platt Liebau: Better Than It's Seemed?

Monday, June 19, 2006

Better Than It's Seemed?

Michael Barone points out that things may not have been as bad for the President as they looked until last week. With respect to the upcoming elections, polls are bad at predicting turnout -- and turnout is what made the difference for the President (and his party) in 2004.

Moreover, the Republicans have to run against someone -- and luckily for them, it' s the Democrats. Here, Joe Klein's distinction between a referendum and choice when it comes to elections becomes useful. Dems want to frame it as the former, Republicans as the latter.

Luckily, it is the latter -- and we're dealing with a party that actually tries to claim it's got a plan even as it ignores the two hottest issues of the day: The war in Iraq and illegal immigration. No wonder the support for Democrats has dropped seven points in the last month.


Blogger Dittohead said...

Stay the course is not a plan when after three years, Iraq is on the brink of civil war that could destabilize the Middle East and in Afghanistan eighty percent of the country is ruled by warlords and drug dealers.

12:24 PM  
Blogger Greg said...


You're not paying attention.

We're actually WINNING the War in Iraq. Even Zarqawi thinks so.

Oops, thought so.

You leftists have sunk beyond even your Viet Nam days. Then you wanted to declare victory and come home. Now you want to declare defeat and come home.

1:49 PM  
Blogger CAB said...

Turn-out and the border will certainly be key in Arizona's 8th congressional district, one of the few open seats. The seat became open as Congressman Jim Kolbe announced his retirement. The district wraps around the north and east side of Tucson, including both rural and urban areas, and includes border communities [pdf map].

Inside baseball: the Republican contender with the most name recognition, Randy Graf, has challenged Kolbe in the past and there is bad blood between the party establishment and Graf. Graf is also the most identified with tough border security. So, will the local party self-destruct or pull together? We'll see. The state Republican party's failure to field a strong candidate for governor is not going to help drive Republican turn out with the top race on the ticket.

I just discovered a new blog dedicated to this key race: Arizona 8th. Thoughtful and substantive postings so far.

2:08 PM  
Blogger Dittohead said...

Oops, I forgot this is a faith based wars with all evidence suppressed. Yep, things going very well. Now move along people.

3:15 PM  
Blogger Greg said...

This is the reason the Democrats will NOT take over the House or the Senate or the Presidency any time soon:

Democrats see the difficulties (and tragedies) associated with war and decide they can't pay the price no matter what the goal is - if they even recognize what the goal is in the first place. Then they label all who disagree as brutal war criminals - even the military men and women risking their lives for love of country.

Republicans compare the value of the goal to the price that must be paid to achieve it. If the goal is worth the price, they will pay it realizing all the while the tragedy of the loss of even a single life.

Democrats will cut and run.

Republicans will fight and win.

8:41 AM  
Blogger Dittohead said...

Bush & Rumsfled don't need any help in losing both wars.

They pulled the troops out of Afghanitan too early and now 80% of the country is run by warlords and drug dealers. Al Quaeda is as strong as when the the war first started. The NATO commander said Pentagon scewed up and they would need 500,000 troops to gain control of the country but nations are not willing to send enough troops.

In Iraq they never sent enough troops to control it and that allowed the insurgents and Al Qaeda to build forces. Iraq is a total mess on the brink of civil war that could destablize the region.

Bush and Rove hide behind name calling and belittling anyone who wants to discuss the wars.

10:53 AM  

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