Carol Platt Liebau: Before Breaking Out the Champagne . . .

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Before Breaking Out the Champagne . . .

This article alludes to the fact that Hillary Clinton lost the straw poll for President.\

Before conservatives break out the champagne, it's worth realizing that this may not mean much. Although it signals significant discontent with Hillary among the netroots, she's betting that she can hold off John Edwards and Barack Obama long enough to win the nomination. Then, she calculates, her more "nuanced" view on the war will serve her well in a general election, where either of the others might be seen as too far left.

And depending upon whom the Republicans choose, this calculation may not be entirely off-base.


Blogger Earth to Carol said...

My bet would be by focusing on winning the general, she will lose the primary. You has to win the election your in, not the next one.

1:43 AM  
Blogger Greg said...

Good point, Earth.

Hillary may have assumed early that she had no real competition for the Democratic Nomination, that it was more of a coronation for her. Therefore, she concentrated all her statements, votes, and efforts on appearing moderate.

She did that for a reason. She calculates that a leftist cannot win the general election. But now she finds herself in a fight for the nomination.

This is a win-win for conservatives.

If Hillary is forced to move left to win the nomination, she is exposed as the true leftist she is and will lose the general election.

If Hillary is defeated for the nomination by someone either more left than she is (or more honest about their leftness), then the Democrats will lose the general election for having nominated someone the nation cannot trust to defend this nation.


On the other hand, Hillary may do the most cursed thing a liberal can do - Hold the Course. She may actually continue posing as a moderate and win the nomination.

That would mean the truly wacky, looney left doesn't have as much control over the Democratic Party as they think (and many fear).

Of course Hillary will still lose the general election simply because she is, well, she's Hillary!

That's a Win-Win-Win for the good guys!

1:03 PM  

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